Theory of Human Probability

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Theory of Human Probability

It is also important that when we examine the genuineness of the transactions entered into by the assessee, we must also bear in mind Hon’ble Supreme Court’s observation, in the case of CIT v. Durga Prasad More [(1971) 82 ITR 540 (SC)], to the effect that “Science has not yet invented any instrument to test the reliability of the evidence placed before a court or tribunal. Therefore, the courts and Tribunals have to judge the evidence before them by applying the test of human probabilities”.
Similarly, in a later decision in the case of Sumati Dayal v. CIT [(1995) 214 ITR 801 (SC)], Hon’ble Supreme Court rejected the theory that it is for alleger to prove that the apparent and not real, and observed as under:
“This, in our opinion, is a superficial approach to the problem. The matter has to be considered in the light of human probabilities. ……….Similarly the observation ……….that if it is alleged that these tickets were obtained through fraudulent means, it is upon the alleger to prove that it is so, ignores the reality. The transaction about purchase of winning ticket takes place in secret and direct evidence about such purchase would be rarely available …..
In our opinion, the majority opinion after considering surrounding circumstances and applying the test of human probabilities has rightly concluded that the appellant’s claim about the amount being her winning from races is not genuine.
It cannot be said that the explanation offered by the appellant in respect of the said amounts has been rejected unreasonably”. We will be superficial in our approach in case we examine the claim of the assessee solely on the basis of documents filed by the assessee and overlook clear the unusual pattern in the documents filed by the assessee and pretend to be oblivious of the ground realities.
As Hon’ble Supreme Court has observed, in the case of Durga Prasad More (supra), ……..
“It is true that an apparent must be considered real until it is shown that there are reasons to believe that the apparent is not the real party who relies on a recital in a deed has to establish the truth of those recitals, otherwise it will be very easy to make self-serving statements in documents either executed or taken by a party and rely on those recitals. If all that an assessee who wants to evade tax is to have some recitals made in a document either executed by him or executed in his favour then the door will be left wide open to evade tax.
A little probing was sufficient in the present case to show that the apparent was not the real. The taxing authorities were not required to put on blinkers while looking at the documents produced before them. They were entitled to look into the surrounding circumstances to find out the reality of the recitals made in those documents”.
As a final fact finding authority, this Tribunal cannot be superficial in its assessment of the genuineness of a transaction, and this call is to be taken not only in the light of the face value of the documents sighted before the Tribunal but also in the light of all the surrounding circumstances, the preponderance of human probabilities and ground realities. There may be a difference in subjective perception on such issues, on the same set of facts, but that cannot be a reason enough for the fact-finding authorities to avoid taking subjective calls on these aspects, and remain confined to the findings on the basis of irrefutable evidence.
Hon’ble Supreme Court has, in the case of Durga Prasad More (supra), observed that “human minds may differ as to the reliability of a piece of evidence but in that sphere the decision of the final fact finding authority is made conclusive by law”.
This faith in the Tribunal by Hon’ble Courts above makes the job of the Tribunal even more onerous and demanding and, in our considered view, it does require the Tribunal to take a holistic view of the matter, in the light of surrounding circumstances, the preponderance of probabilities and ground realities, rather than being swayed by the not so convincing, but apparently in order, documents and examining them, in a pedantic manner, with the blinkers
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